Mussa Dankwah has downplayed suggestions that sympathy for the late Member of Parliament for Akwatia, Ernest Yaw Kumi, will sway the outcome of the upcoming by-election.
“Sympathy will not influence voter decisions in Akwatia by-election,” the Executive Director of Global InfoAnalytics, said on TV3’s Key Points on Saturday, August 30.
He explained that voter motivations are being driven more by practical concerns than by emotional sentiment. “For them, it is about improving the quality of education in the constituency,” he said when asked about students’ preference for the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Lawyer Bernard Bediako.
He added that “those with senior high school qualifications are looking for sustainable jobs,” suggesting that economic and educational concerns will weigh heavily in shaping the final result.
Confident in his forecast, Mr. Dankwah declared: “I am 99% sure that the NDC will win the by-election.”
The by-election, set for September 2, 2025, was necessitated by the sudden death of first-time NPP MP Ernest Yaw Kumi in July. The contest is being closely monitored as Akwatia has historically swung between both major parties.
Meanwhile, a separate survey conducted by Sanity Africa between August 1 and 27 points to a tighter race. The poll shows the NDC’s Bernard Baidoo leading the NPP’s Solomon Asumadu by a slim margin of 52.3% to 47.7%.
Researchers highlighted deep demographic divides, with Baidoo enjoying strong support among graduates and educated voters, while Asumadu resonates with the unemployed, younger voters, and galamsey-linked communities.
