Mussa Dankwah has offered a data-driven look at the New Patriotic Party (NPP) flagbearer race, indicating that Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia currently holds a clear lead over his competitors, including Kennedy Agyapong.
“There are two polls in this report. First is the general public perception, and on that score Bawumia leads with 57.4%,” Dankwah revealed on Channel One TV monitored by MyNewsGh.
Kennedy Agyapong follows with 29.3%, while other contenders such as Brian Acheampong and Dr. Osei Adutwum trail significantly.
Among delegates, the figures tell a similar story: “With the delegates, what you have is Bawumia leading with 47%, Kennedy 17%, Bryan 3%, Adutwum 1%, and another 27% undecided,” he noted.
Dankwah added that in past surveys, many of those who decline to disclose their preference tend to support Kennedy Agyapong.
He identified two key reasons behind Bawumia’s strength: his longstanding visibility and the conservative nature of delegates.
“Bawumia has been the face of the party since 2008. He’s a familiar face for many people, including delegates,” Dankwah explained. “NPP delegates are conservatives; they are much older people. The older you are, the less vibrant and dynamic change you want to have.”
Ethnicity and religion are also playing significant roles. Dankwah pointed out that despite being the only non-Akan in the race, Bawumia is performing well even in Akan areas.
“The party wants to broaden its appeal, and that’s why you see support for Bawumia in Akan strongholds,” he said. He also highlighted religion as a subtle but real factor; “About 10% of voters say religion is important to them, and in a close race, that can be decisive.”
